Libertad vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
25.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 2
LIB
37%
26%
38%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
LIB
4 - 1
AME
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
12O
1 - 3
LIB
26%
25%
49%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
LIB
4 - 0
RES
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 2
LIB
31%
24%
45%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2022 |
CCP
1 - 1
GUA
42%
28%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 1
NAC
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
CRI
0 - 1
GUA
5%
12%
83%
|
78 | 13 | 65 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
AME
1 - 0
GUA
35%
28%
38%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 1
12O
67%
20%
13%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |