Libertad vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
SPO
1 - 2
LIB
16%
23%
61%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2020 |
CCP
2 - 1
LIB
37%
25%
38%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2020 |
LIB
1 - 1
RPA
73%
18%
8%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2020 |
LIB
0 - 1
AME
67%
21%
13%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
LIB
3 - 2
CFC
66%
21%
13%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2020 |
GUA
0 - 0
GEN
77%
16%
7%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 1
GUA
29%
26%
45%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
PAL
3 - 1
GUA
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 1
AME
64%
21%
16%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 0
BOL
41%
23%
36%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |