Libertad vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
LIB
2 - 0
TAC
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
LQE
2 - 3
LIB
42%
27%
32%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2006 |
LIB
0 - 0
OLI
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2006 |
SCI
2 - 0
LIB
59%
25%
17%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2006 |
LIB
1 - 1
GUA
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
OLI
1 - 1
CCP
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
CCP
3 - 1
2DE
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
12O
0 - 1
CCP
32%
27%
41%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2006 |
CCP
3 - 1
FER
79%
15%
6%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2006 |
NAC
0 - 1
CCP
46%
25%
30%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |