CHAN Qualifying Final
Global 1-4
Liberia vs Senegal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
21.7%
70.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
20.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0%
-1
28.6%
0-2
17.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.2%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
ALG
5 - 1
LBR
86%
11%
3%
|
55 | 86 | 31 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2024 |
LBR
1 - 0
TOG
19%
24%
57%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
LBR
1 - 1
SLE
30%
25%
46%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SLE
1 - 2
LBR
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2024 |
LBR
1 - 2
EQG
14%
20%
66%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
SEN
2 - 0
BDI
84%
12%
4%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
BFA
0 - 1
SEN
31%
27%
42%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
MWI
0 - 1
SEN
10%
22%
68%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
SEN
4 - 0
MWI
86%
12%
3%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
BDI
0 - 1
SEN
11%
22%
67%
|
86 | 57 | 29 | 0 |