Lebanon vs Syria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
33.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2001 |
LBN
0 - 0
IRQ
10%
18%
72%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2000 |
LBN
1 - 1
THA
27%
24%
49%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
LBN
2 - 2
IRQ
9%
18%
73%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2000 |
LBN
0 - 4
IRN
12%
21%
66%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
LBN
2 - 2
PER
16%
25%
58%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Syria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2001 |
KSA
1 - 0
SYR
71%
19%
11%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2001 |
KWT
2 - 0
SYR
71%
17%
11%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2000 |
KSA
3 - 0
SYR
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
KSA
2 - 1
SYR
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2000 |
SYR
1 - 0
JOR
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |