Denmark Third Division Western Round 24

Nykøbing FC vs Aarhus Fremad analysis

Nykøbing FC Aarhus Fremad
49 ELO 55
-7% Tilt 6.6%
4805º General ELO ranking 1573º
50º Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
27.5%
Nykøbing FC
25.3%
Draw
47.2%
Aarhus Fremad

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
Nykøbing FC
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
47.2%
Win probability
Aarhus Fremad
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nykøbing FC
-32%
-12%
Aarhus Fremad

ELO progression

Nykøbing FC
Aarhus Fremad
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nykøbing FC
Nykøbing FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 May. 2012
AAR
Aarup
4 - 3
Nykøbing FC
LFA
29%
24%
47%
50 38 12 0
06 May. 2012
LFA
Nykøbing FC
2 - 1
Otterup
OTB
63%
21%
16%
50 38 12 0
28 Apr. 2012
MAR
Marienlyst
0 - 1
Nykøbing FC
LFA
56%
21%
23%
49 49 0 +1
22 Apr. 2012
LFA
Nykøbing FC
1 - 1
Viby
VIB
67%
19%
13%
49 36 13 0
14 Apr. 2012
BRA
Brabrand
2 - 0
Nykøbing FC
LFA
30%
26%
44%
50 45 5 -1

Matches

Aarhus Fremad
Aarhus Fremad
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 May. 2012
AAF
Aarhus Fremad
0 - 1
Fyn
FYN
37%
25%
38%
56 59 3 0
05 May. 2012
NAS
Næsby BK
3 - 3
Aarhus Fremad
AAF
48%
24%
28%
56 58 2 0
28 Apr. 2012
AAF
Aarhus Fremad
0 - 1
Varde
VAR
65%
21%
15%
57 48 9 -1
22 Apr. 2012
THI
Thisted
2 - 1
Aarhus Fremad
AAF
37%
25%
38%
57 53 4 0
14 Apr. 2012
AAF
Aarhus Fremad
2 - 2
Kjellerup
KJE
74%
17%
9%
58 43 15 -1