EFL Trophy . Semi-finals
Global 2-3
Leyton Orient vs Southend United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
34.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leyton Orient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
STE
0 - 1
LEY
53%
24%
22%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2013 |
LEY
0 - 0
SWI
28%
27%
45%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
LEY
2 - 1
NOT
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2013 |
BRE
2 - 2
LEY
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
DON
2 - 0
LEY
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 0
OXF
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
CHE
0 - 1
SOU
48%
24%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2013 |
BRE
2 - 1
SOU
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
EXE
3 - 0
SOU
31%
26%
43%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2013 |
OXF
3 - 3
SOU
32%
25%
43%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |