Lex XI vs Guilsfield FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
14.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lex XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
DEN
3 - 0
LEX
30%
24%
46%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
LEX
2 - 0
POR
46%
24%
30%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +3 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
LEX
2 - 3
RTW
58%
21%
21%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
MYN
4 - 3
LEX
33%
24%
43%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
LEX
2 - 1
GCF
87%
9%
4%
|
41 | 9 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Guilsfield FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2008 |
BUC
2 - 1
GUI
56%
22%
23%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
GUI
4 - 0
MYN
40%
23%
37%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +4 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
GUI
0 - 2
BAL
26%
24%
50%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
LLA
1 - 1
GUI
60%
20%
20%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
GUI
1 - 2
HOL
29%
24%
48%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |