Lewes vs Crawley Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lewes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
KID
1 - 1
LEW
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
LEW
3 - 0
WES
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 32 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2008 |
HAM
6 - 0
LEW
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
LEW
2 - 0
DOR
71%
19%
10%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2008 |
LEW
1 - 0
FIS
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
CRA
0 - 1
YOR
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
GUL
1 - 2
CRA
56%
25%
20%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2008 |
CRA
0 - 4
HAL
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
RFC
1 - 3
CRA
23%
26%
51%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2008 |
CRA
2 - 1
GRA
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |