Cup . Semi-finals
Global 4-2
Levski Sofia vs Ludogorets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
33.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Levski Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
CSK
0 - 0
LSO
44%
27%
30%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
LUD
2 - 3
LSO
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
LSO
2 - 0
CVA
45%
27%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
OFK
0 - 3
LSO
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
LSO
3 - 2
SEP
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
LUD
4 - 1
SSO
61%
22%
18%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
LUD
2 - 3
LSO
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
BER
0 - 1
LUD
28%
25%
47%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
LUD
3 - 0
BOT
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
LUD
5 - 1
ETA
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |