Levadia vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.8%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
11%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
4.2%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Levadia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2016 |
TIN
2 - 1
LEV
30%
22%
49%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
SIK
3 - 2
LEV
19%
23%
58%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
LEV
2 - 2
TIN
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
LEV
7 - 0
JOK
85%
11%
4%
|
78 | 50 | 28 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
LEV
4 - 0
TAM
84%
12%
4%
|
78 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
RAK
1 - 1
PAR
39%
22%
40%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 6
FLO
7%
15%
78%
|
41 | 77 | 36 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
TIN
1 - 0
PAR
87%
9%
4%
|
42 | 68 | 26 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 5
KAL
11%
21%
68%
|
42 | 75 | 33 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
SIK
4 - 2
PAR
76%
15%
9%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | -1 |