Levadia vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.1%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
5.8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Levadia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2007 |
LEV
1 - 0
TVM
53%
22%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
PAR
0 - 5
LEV
17%
23%
61%
|
78 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2007 |
LEV
2 - 2
TAM
80%
14%
6%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
LEV
4 - 0
TUL
86%
11%
3%
|
78 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2007 |
TAM
0 - 1
LEV
15%
20%
64%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2007 |
PAR
0 - 0
KUR
56%
22%
22%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
PAR
0 - 5
LEV
17%
23%
61%
|
51 | 78 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2007 |
TAL
0 - 2
PAR
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2007 |
TVM
5 - 0
PAR
89%
8%
3%
|
51 | 78 | 27 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
TRA
2 - 0
PAR
85%
11%
4%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | 0 |