Lesotho vs Tanzania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
58.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
LSO
0 - 2
UGA
14%
22%
64%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
UGA
3 - 0
LSO
60%
24%
16%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
LSO
1 - 1
CPV
15%
22%
63%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2018 |
MDG
0 - 1
LSO
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2018 |
LSO
0 - 0
ZWE
16%
24%
60%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Tanzania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
TZA
2 - 0
CPV
27%
25%
48%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
CPV
3 - 0
TZA
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
UGA
0 - 0
TZA
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
TZA
2 - 0
COD
14%
21%
65%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
DZA
4 - 1
TZA
79%
14%
6%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | -1 |