Lerum vs Nordvärmland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
65.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lerum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
LIS
1 - 0
TIB
18%
20%
62%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
KAR
2 - 0
LIS
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
LIS
1 - 2
GAU
13%
18%
69%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
YTE
2 - 2
LIS
82%
11%
6%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
LIS
2 - 3
OLM
22%
22%
56%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Nordvärmland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
LID
1 - 1
NOR
40%
25%
35%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
NOR
3 - 2
IFK
68%
18%
14%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2014 |
YTE
2 - 1
NOR
29%
23%
49%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
NOR
1 - 0
STE
54%
23%
23%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
TIK
1 - 2
NOR
38%
26%
36%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |