Lerchenfeld vs Timau Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21.1%
42.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lerchenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
FCK
3 - 0
LER
42%
21%
37%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2018 |
ALL
4 - 1
LER
53%
21%
26%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
LER
3 - 2
GUM
67%
17%
16%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
MOU
5 - 0
LER
48%
22%
31%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
LER
2 - 4
FCK
60%
20%
20%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Timau Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
TIM
3 - 5
ALL
51%
20%
29%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
TAV
1 - 4
TIM
32%
22%
46%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
TIM
3 - 2
BIN
46%
21%
34%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
DOR
3 - 4
TIM
55%
20%
25%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
TIM
2 - 2
ALL
42%
21%
37%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |