Lerchenfeld vs La Tour / Le Pâquier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
28.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lerchenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
LYS
3 - 0
LER
43%
24%
34%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
LER
2 - 1
BER
54%
23%
23%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
FCK
3 - 1
LER
79%
14%
7%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
THU
2 - 0
LER
60%
20%
20%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
LER
5 - 0
ESB
63%
20%
17%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
La Tour / Le Pâquier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
TPA
2 - 3
THU
37%
23%
39%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
TPA
1 - 3
ETO
20%
22%
58%
|
23 | 47 | 24 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
ESB
2 - 3
TPA
31%
23%
45%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
TPA
1 - 3
BUM
66%
18%
15%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
ROM
2 - 2
TPA
28%
24%
48%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -1 |