Leonfortese vs Roccella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
30.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leonfortese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 0
LEO
51%
22%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
LEO
1 - 1
RAA
34%
27%
39%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
DTO
2 - 0
LEO
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
LEO
0 - 0
GEL
53%
23%
25%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
NOT
2 - 0
LEO
36%
28%
36%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ROC
3 - 2
SAR
41%
24%
35%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
RAA
1 - 0
ROC
56%
24%
20%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 1
DTO
45%
24%
31%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
GEL
1 - 2
ROC
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ROC
0 - 0
NOT
40%
24%
37%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |