Leones vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
36.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2021 |
HUI
0 - 2
LEO
62%
21%
17%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
LEO
1 - 1
HUI
24%
25%
51%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 1
LEO
44%
24%
32%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
REA
2 - 0
LEO
37%
24%
39%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
LEO
3 - 3
COR
29%
25%
46%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 3
COR
35%
24%
41%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
COR
0 - 1
FOR
52%
23%
24%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 1
LEO
44%
24%
32%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
HUI
3 - 0
FOR
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 0
BOG
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |