Leones vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
30.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 2
LEO
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2019 |
LEO
2 - 3
QUI
34%
29%
37%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
AFC
1 - 1
LEO
23%
26%
52%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
LEO
0 - 0
TFC
38%
29%
33%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
RSC
1 - 1
LEO
29%
27%
44%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2019 |
FOR
4 - 2
COR
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
BOG
2 - 0
FOR
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
FOR
3 - 0
CHI
34%
28%
39%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +2 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
LLA
2 - 0
FOR
46%
26%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2019 |
PER
1 - 0
FOR
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |