Liga MX Clausura Round 1

León vs Tigres UANL analysis

León Tigres UANL
80 ELO 83
8.2% Tilt -3.6%
377º General ELO ranking 342º
11º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
43.6%
León
26.2%
Draw
30.2%
Tigres UANL

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
León
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
30.2%
Win probability
Tigres UANL
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
León
-15%
+2%
Tigres UANL

Points and table prediction

León
Their league position
Tigres UANL
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
16º
11º
31
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
América
35
35
100%
Cruz Azul
33
33
100%
Toluca
32
32
0%
Monterrey
32
32
0%
Tigres UANL
31
31
0%
Chivas Guadalajara
31
31
0%
Pachuca
29
29
100%
Pumas UNAM
27
27
100%
Necaxa
27
27
100%
Querétaro
10º
24
24
10º
0%
León
11º
24
24
11º
0%
FC Juárez
12º
16
16
12º
0%
Mazatlán
14º
16
16
13º
100%
Atl. San Luis
13º
16
16
14º
0%
Santos Laguna
15º
15
15
15º
100%
Tijuana
16º
14
14
16º
100%
Atlas FC
17º
14
14
17º
100%
Puebla
18º
5
5
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
León
Tigres UANL
Final Series
0% 100%
Play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%

ELO progression

León
Tigres UANL
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

León
León
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Dec. 2023
LEO
León
0 - 1
Urawa Reds
URA
47%
25%
28%
81 82 1 0
03 Dec. 2023
AME
América
2 - 0
León
LEO
58%
22%
20%
81 83 2 0
30 Nov. 2023
LEO
León
2 - 2
América
AME
42%
25%
34%
81 83 2 0
27 Nov. 2023
LEO
León
3 - 2
Santos Laguna
SAN
46%
24%
30%
81 80 1 0
24 Nov. 2023
AUR
Atl. San Luis
3 - 2
León
LEO
37%
26%
38%
81 74 7 0

Matches

Tigres UANL
Tigres UANL
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Dec. 2023
AME
América
3 - 0
Tigres UANL
TIG
54%
23%
23%
83 84 1 0
15 Dec. 2023
TIG
Tigres UANL
1 - 1
América
AME
40%
25%
35%
83 84 1 0
11 Dec. 2023
TIG
Tigres UANL
1 - 1
Pumas UNAM
PUM
55%
24%
22%
83 79 4 0
08 Dec. 2023
PUM
Pumas UNAM
0 - 1
Tigres UANL
TIG
42%
26%
32%
83 79 4 0
04 Dec. 2023
TIG
Tigres UANL
3 - 0
Puebla
PUE
55%
24%
21%
83 78 5 0