Liga MX Finals Ap. Eliminatorias. Quarter-finals

Global 3-2

León vs Puebla analysis

León Puebla
84 ELO 73
14.8% Tilt 3.7%
412º General ELO ranking 952º
Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
74.6%
León
15.9%
Draw
9.5%
Puebla

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
León
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
9.5%
Win probability
Puebla
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
León
-7%
-28%
Puebla

ELO progression

León
Puebla
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

León
León
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Nov. 2020
PUE
Puebla
2 - 1
León
LEO
22%
24%
54%
84 72 12 0
08 Nov. 2020
TOL
Toluca
2 - 2
León
LEO
27%
24%
49%
84 75 9 0
03 Nov. 2020
LEO
León
2 - 1
Santos Laguna
SAN
58%
21%
21%
84 81 3 0
24 Oct. 2020
PUE
Puebla
1 - 2
León
LEO
18%
24%
58%
84 71 13 0
20 Oct. 2020
LEO
León
3 - 2
América
AME
47%
23%
30%
83 84 1 +1

Matches

Puebla
Puebla
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Nov. 2020
PUE
Puebla
2 - 1
León
LEO
22%
24%
54%
72 84 12 0
23 Nov. 2020
MON
Monterrey
2 - 2
Puebla
PUE
74%
17%
9%
72 84 12 0
07 Nov. 2020
PUE
Puebla
1 - 0
Atl. San Luis
AUR
57%
23%
20%
72 66 6 0
01 Nov. 2020
ATS
Atlas Guadalajara
0 - 1
Puebla
PUE
41%
28%
31%
71 69 2 +1
24 Oct. 2020
PUE
Puebla
1 - 2
León
LEO
18%
24%
58%
71 84 13 0
X