Liga MX Apertura round 2

León vs Pachuca analysis

León Pachuca
85 ELO 84
10.2% Tilt -5.9%
374º General ELO ranking 366º
10º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
47%
León
23.9%
Draw
29.1%
Pachuca

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
León
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29.1%
Win probability
Pachuca
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
León
-2%
+2%
Pachuca

Points and table prediction

León
Their league position
Pachuca
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
15º
22
11º
17º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
América
40
40
100%
Monterrey
33
33
100%
Tigres UANL
30
30
100%
Pumas UNAM
28
28
100%
Chivas Guadalajara
27
27
100%
Puebla
25
25
100%
Atl. San Luis
23
23
100%
León
23
23
0%
Santos Laguna
23
23
0%
Mazatlán
10º
22
22
10º
0%
Pachuca
11º
22
22
11º
0%
Toluca
12º
21
21
12º
100%
Tijuana
13º
20
20
13º
100%
Querétaro
14º
19
19
14º
100%
FC Juárez
15º
18
18
15º
100%
Cruz Azul
16º
17
17
16º
0%
Atlas Fútbol Club
17º
17
17
17º
0%
Necaxa
18º
15
15
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
León
Pachuca
Final Series
0% 0%
Play-offs
100% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%

ELO progression

León
Pachuca
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

León
León
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Jul. 2023
LEO
León
1 - 2
Chivas Guadalajara
CHI
56%
23%
21%
84 83 1 0
05 Jun. 2023
LAN
Los Angeles FC
0 - 1
León
LEO
57%
22%
21%
84 86 2 0
01 Jun. 2023
LEO
León
2 - 1
Los Angeles FC
LAN
39%
25%
37%
83 86 3 +1
08 May. 2023
LEO
León
1 - 3
Atl. San Luis
AUR
69%
18%
12%
84 74 10 -1
04 May. 2023
LEO
León
3 - 1
Tigres UANL
TIG
51%
24%
25%
83 84 1 +1

Matches

Pachuca
Pachuca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jul. 2023
MAZ
Mazatlán
1 - 1
Pachuca
PAC
21%
24%
55%
84 72 12 0
25 Jun. 2023
PAC
Pachuca
1 - 2
Tigres UANL
TIG
53%
24%
23%
84 84 0 0
22 Jun. 2023
SAC
San Antonio Corinthians FC
0 - 6
Pachuca
PAC
6%
14%
80%
84 40 44 0
07 May. 2023
PAC
Pachuca
4 - 4
Santos Laguna
SAN
55%
22%
23%
84 81 3 0
01 May. 2023
QRO
Querétaro
0 - 1
Pachuca
PAC
22%
24%
54%
84 74 10 0