León vs Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
GUE
2 - 0
LEO
31%
26%
43%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
LEO
4 - 1
DOR
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
QRO
0 - 0
LEO
49%
25%
25%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
LEO
1 - 0
TEC
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
UDG
2 - 3
LEO
22%
25%
53%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
DUR
0 - 1
REB
29%
27%
44%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
AGU
2 - 1
DUR
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
DUR
1 - 3
CSL
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
DUR
0 - 1
MON
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
GUE
2 - 1
DUR
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |