León vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
11.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
LEO
0 - 0
CAZ
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
LEO
3 - 0
EME
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 0
LEO
28%
27%
45%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
EME
2 - 1
LEO
40%
27%
34%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
LEO
0 - 1
VER
77%
15%
8%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
OPE
4 - 0
BOL
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
BOL
1 - 0
FLA
36%
26%
38%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
BOL
2 - 0
GUA
66%
19%
15%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
FLA
2 - 2
BOL
66%
20%
15%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
BOL
3 - 0
AUR
65%
19%
15%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |