Serie D Group D Round 31

Lentigione vs Progresso analysis

Lentigione Progresso
58 ELO 46
-10.5% Tilt -5%
3570º General ELO ranking 5753º
118º Country ELO ranking 209º
ELO win probability
66%
Lentigione
21.9%
Draw
12.1%
Progresso

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
Lentigione
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
12%
Win probability
Progresso
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lentigione
-3%
+38%
Progresso

Points and table prediction

Lentigione
Their league position
Progresso
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
10º
41
10º
18º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Forli
84
84
100%
Ravenna FC
74
74
100%
Lentigione
65
65
100%
Tau Calcio
63
63
100%
Pistoiese
61
61
100%
Imolese
53
53
100%
Cittadella Vis Modena
47
47
100%
Prato
42
42
100%
Piacenza
42
42
0%
Tuttocuoio
10º
42
42
10º
0%
Progresso
11º
41
41
11º
100%
Zenith Prato
17º
23
38
12º
0%
San Marino Calcio
12º
38
38
13º
0%
Sasso Marconi
13º
37
37
14º
100%
Corticella
14º
36
36
15º
100%
Sammaurese
15º
31
31
16º
100%
Fiorenzuola
16º
26
26
17º
100%
Riccione
18º
22
22
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Lentigione
Progresso
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Lentigione
Progresso
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lentigione
Lentigione
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2025
COR
Corticella
0 - 4
Lentigione
LEN
26%
26%
49%
57 46 11 0
30 Mar. 2025
LEN
Lentigione
2 - 2
Cittadella Vis Modena
CIT
66%
20%
14%
56 34 22 +1
23 Mar. 2025
ZEN
Zenith Prato
1 - 2
Lentigione
LEN
22%
24%
54%
56 31 25 0
09 Mar. 2025
LEN
Lentigione
1 - 0
Tau Calcio
ASD
36%
27%
37%
55 57 2 +1
02 Mar. 2025
RIC
Riccione
0 - 3
Lentigione
LEN
18%
24%
58%
54 40 14 +1

Matches

Progresso
Progresso
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2025
CIT
Cittadella Vis Modena
1 - 1
Progresso
PRO
34%
27%
39%
47 35 12 0
30 Mar. 2025
PRO
Progresso
1 - 2
Fiorenzuola
FIO
56%
26%
18%
48 37 11 -1
23 Mar. 2025
ASD
Tau Calcio
1 - 1
Progresso
PRO
68%
21%
11%
47 57 10 +1
09 Mar. 2025
PRO
Progresso
4 - 0
Corticella
COR
27%
27%
46%
45 47 2 +2
02 Mar. 2025
FOR
Forli
2 - 0
Progresso
PRO
75%
17%
8%
45 59 14 0