Lens vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
18.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2020 |
LEN
1 - 0
ORL
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2020 |
PFC
0 - 2
LEN
25%
28%
47%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
LEN
1 - 4
CAE
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2020 |
CHA
3 - 2
LEN
25%
27%
48%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2020 |
LEN
0 - 0
GRE
61%
24%
16%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
GRE
1 - 3
VAL
40%
29%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
VAL
0 - 0
AJA
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
NIO
1 - 0
VAL
31%
28%
41%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
VAL
3 - 2
SOC
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
CLE
3 - 1
VAL
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |