Lens vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
LMU
4 - 5
LEN
39%
29%
33%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
ASN
2 - 1
LEN
40%
28%
32%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
LEN
0 - 0
NIC
60%
24%
17%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
CAE
1 - 4
LEN
37%
28%
36%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
LEN
2 - 2
STR
60%
22%
17%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
TFC
0 - 0
MAR
28%
28%
43%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
AUX
1 - 0
TFC
55%
25%
20%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
ASN
1 - 0
TFC
52%
26%
23%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
TFC
1 - 1
NIC
41%
30%
29%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2008 |
STR
2 - 0
TFC
42%
28%
30%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |