UEFA Intertoto Cup . Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Lens vs Stuttgart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2000 |
LEN
3 - 0
STR
62%
21%
17%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2000 |
GIR
1 - 2
LEN
56%
24%
20%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
LEN
4 - 3
LYO
49%
25%
26%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2000 |
LEN
1 - 2
ARS
36%
27%
37%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2000 |
PSG
4 - 1
LEN
55%
24%
21%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2000 |
STU
4 - 1
NEX
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2000 |
NEX
1 - 6
STU
37%
25%
38%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2000 |
STU
3 - 3
ARB
60%
22%
19%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2000 |
ROS
1 - 4
STU
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
STU
1 - 2
BVB
52%
25%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |