Lens vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
27.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
VAL
0 - 0
LEN
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
PSG
1 - 1
LEN
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
LEN
2 - 0
NIC
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
USB
2 - 1
LEN
27%
26%
46%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
LEN
1 - 0
MAR
29%
27%
45%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
ASS
0 - 0
MAR
28%
27%
46%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
PSG
3 - 0
ASS
57%
23%
19%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2009 |
LIL
4 - 0
ASS
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
ASS
0 - 0
SOC
48%
26%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
LMU
1 - 1
ASS
39%
27%
34%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |