Lens vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
14.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
TFC
0 - 0
LEN
32%
29%
40%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
LMU
3 - 0
LEN
31%
28%
41%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
LEN
2 - 0
AJA
64%
22%
15%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2004 |
LEN
1 - 3
AUX
41%
28%
31%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
SOC
0 - 3
LEN
60%
23%
18%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
ASS
0 - 1
MON
18%
25%
56%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
ASS
2 - 1
CHA
54%
25%
20%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
LHA
1 - 0
ASS
38%
28%
34%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2004 |
ASS
1 - 1
FCG
61%
23%
16%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2004 |
NIO
0 - 1
ASS
39%
28%
33%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |