Lens vs PSG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1%
1-0
2%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.1%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.6%
83%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
12.3%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.4%
0-4
8.7%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
12%
0-5
4.9%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.4%
0-6
2.3%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.9%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 2
LEN
62%
23%
15%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
NIC
2 - 1
LEN
64%
22%
15%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
LEN
1 - 3
UNI
34%
26%
40%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
LEN
1 - 2
PFC
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
GNK
1 - 1
LEN
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
PSG
0 - 1
BYM
14%
16%
70%
|
90 | 96 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2020 |
RBL
0 - 3
PSG
37%
23%
39%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2020 |
ATL
1 - 2
PSG
38%
22%
40%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
PSG
1 - 0
SOC
91%
7%
2%
|
89 | 58 | 31 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2020 |
PSG
0 - 0
LYO
66%
18%
17%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |