Lens vs Nîmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 1980 |
SOC
1 - 2
LEN
71%
17%
12%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1980 |
LEN
4 - 1
MET
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1980 |
LIL
0 - 0
LEN
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1980 |
LEN
2 - 0
BAS
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1980 |
GIR
1 - 1
LEN
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 1980 |
NÎM
2 - 3
NAN
29%
28%
43%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1980 |
NÎM
0 - 1
NIC
58%
22%
19%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1980 |
ANG
0 - 1
NÎM
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1980 |
NÎM
1 - 1
VAL
60%
23%
18%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1980 |
NÎM
0 - 1
ASS
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |