Lens vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
25.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1973 |
GIR
1 - 1
LEN
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1973 |
LEN
3 - 1
STR
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1973 |
ASS
2 - 1
LEN
71%
17%
12%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1973 |
LEN
0 - 1
NAN
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1973 |
REI
3 - 1
LEN
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1973 |
NIC
1 - 1
TRO
78%
14%
7%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1973 |
KOL
4 - 0
NIC
76%
15%
9%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1973 |
SED
2 - 0
NIC
34%
29%
38%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1973 |
NÎM
0 - 0
NIC
54%
24%
23%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1973 |
NIC
1 - 0
KOL
46%
23%
31%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | +1 |