Lens vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
31.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 1
LEN
31%
26%
43%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
LEN
2 - 0
NIO
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
CAE
1 - 0
LEN
45%
27%
29%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2014 |
LEN
1 - 1
CLE
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
MON
6 - 0
LEN
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
ASN
2 - 1
DIJ
56%
25%
19%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
CHA
0 - 3
ASN
30%
27%
42%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
NÎM
0 - 1
ASN
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
ASN
1 - 1
CAE
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
CLE
1 - 0
ASN
25%
28%
48%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |