Lens vs Chateauroux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
9.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2008 |
VAN
2 - 1
LEN
19%
26%
56%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2008 |
LEN
3 - 1
DIJ
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
LEN
2 - 2
GIR
37%
27%
36%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
LIL
2 - 1
LEN
48%
26%
26%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
LEN
0 - 0
MON
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Chateauroux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2008 |
CHA
0 - 1
TRO
37%
29%
34%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2008 |
AJA
0 - 1
CHA
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2008 |
CHA
1 - 0
CLE
30%
28%
42%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2008 |
GRE
0 - 0
CHA
59%
24%
18%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2008 |
CHA
1 - 2
BRE
41%
29%
30%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |