Lens vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
43.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
REI
0 - 0
LEN
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
LEN
0 - 2
LYO
20%
23%
57%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
GUI
2 - 0
LEN
49%
25%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
LEN
2 - 3
LYO
21%
23%
57%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2014 |
LEN
2 - 0
NIC
27%
26%
47%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
BAS
0 - 0
GIR
38%
27%
36%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2015 |
QUE
1 - 1
BAS
12%
19%
70%
|
80 | 52 | 28 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
TFC
1 - 1
BAS
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2015 |
BAS
3 - 1
REN
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
BAS
4 - 2
PSG
15%
21%
64%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | +1 |