Lens vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2009 |
MPL
0 - 1
LEN
29%
27%
44%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
LEN
4 - 1
STR
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2009 |
AMI
0 - 0
LEN
21%
26%
53%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2009 |
LEN
0 - 0
TOU
70%
19%
11%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2009 |
GUI
0 - 0
LEN
31%
27%
42%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
BAS
0 - 2
BRE
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
SED
1 - 1
BAS
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
BAS
2 - 1
CHA
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
BAS
1 - 2
MET
33%
28%
38%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2009 |
DIJ
2 - 0
BAS
45%
26%
30%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |