Lens vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
14.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1995 |
LEN
6 - 0
AVE
91%
8%
2%
|
82 | 50 | 32 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1995 |
LIL
1 - 3
LEN
28%
30%
42%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1995 |
LEN
1 - 0
REN
61%
23%
16%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1995 |
NIC
1 - 1
LEN
36%
29%
36%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1995 |
LEN
2 - 2
LYO
49%
26%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1995 |
BAS
4 - 1
NAN
30%
27%
43%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1995 |
GUI
1 - 0
BAS
48%
27%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1995 |
BAS
1 - 2
FCG
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1995 |
ASS
3 - 0
BAS
52%
26%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 1995 |
BAS
2 - 1
MON
30%
27%
43%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |