Lens vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
30.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2004 |
SOC
0 - 3
LEN
60%
23%
18%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
LEN
1 - 1
TFC
62%
23%
15%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
GUI
1 - 0
LEN
41%
27%
33%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
LEN
0 - 0
MON
27%
27%
47%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
MPL
1 - 0
LEN
30%
28%
42%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2004 |
AUX
1 - 1
AJA
68%
20%
12%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
LMU
2 - 1
AUX
24%
29%
46%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
AUX
2 - 1
SOC
45%
27%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
AUX
2 - 1
MET
64%
23%
14%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
GUI
2 - 2
AUX
35%
29%
36%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |