Lens vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
72.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
15%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
STR
0 - 1
LEN
33%
26%
42%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LEN
2 - 1
TFC
55%
23%
22%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
SEV
1 - 1
LEN
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
LEN
0 - 1
MET
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
MON
3 - 0
LEN
50%
24%
27%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BOU
0 - 4
ARS
13%
21%
65%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
BRE
0 - 1
ARS
17%
22%
60%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ARS
2 - 2
TOT
62%
20%
19%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
ARS
4 - 0
PSV
78%
14%
9%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
EVE
0 - 1
ARS
13%
21%
67%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |