Lens vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
37.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2000 |
PSG
4 - 1
LEN
55%
24%
21%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
LEN
1 - 0
MET
61%
23%
16%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2000 |
ARS
1 - 0
LEN
62%
23%
16%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
REN
3 - 0
LEN
44%
26%
30%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2000 |
LEN
2 - 1
CEL
52%
25%
23%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
LEE
0 - 4
ARS
34%
28%
39%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2000 |
ARS
1 - 0
LEN
62%
23%
16%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
WIM
1 - 3
ARS
24%
26%
50%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
ARS
3 - 0
COV
72%
18%
10%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2000 |
BRE
2 - 4
ARS
42%
27%
31%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |