Ligue 1 Round 37

Lens vs Ajaccio analysis

Lens Ajaccio
87 ELO 66
0.1% Tilt -0.2%
41º General ELO ranking 1099º
Country ELO ranking 41º
ELO win probability
81.9%
Lens
13.6%
Draw
4.5%
Ajaccio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.9%
Win probability
Lens
2.39
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
14%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
17.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.6%
4.5%
Win probability
Ajaccio
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lens
-4%
+6%
Ajaccio

Points and table prediction

Lens
Their league position
Ajaccio
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
84
26
13º
20º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
PSG
85
85
100%
Lens
84
84
100%
Olympique Marseille
73
73
100%
Stade Rennais
68
68
100%
Lille
67
67
100%
Monaco
65
65
100%
Olympique Lyonnais
62
62
100%
Clermont
59
59
100%
Nice
58
58
100%
Lorient
10º
55
55
10º
100%
Stade de Reims
11º
51
51
11º
100%
Montpellier
12º
50
50
12º
100%
Toulouse
13º
48
48
13º
100%
Stade Brestois
14º
44
44
14º
100%
Strasbourg
15º
40
40
15º
100%
Nantes
16º
36
36
16º
100%
Auxerre
17º
35
35
17º
100%
Ajaccio
18º
26
26
18º
100%
Troyes
19º
24
24
19º
100%
Angers SCO
20º
18
18
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Lens
Ajaccio
Champions League
100% 0%
Champions League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Lens
Ajaccio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lens
Lens
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 May. 2023
LOR
Lorient
1 - 3
Lens
LEN
25%
25%
50%
87 79 8 0
12 May. 2023
LEN
Lens
2 - 1
Stade de Reims
REI
60%
23%
18%
87 82 5 0
06 May. 2023
LEN
Lens
2 - 1
Olympique Marseille
MAR
38%
26%
36%
86 88 2 +1
02 May. 2023
TFC
Toulouse
0 - 1
Lens
LEN
39%
25%
36%
86 82 4 0
22 Apr. 2023
LEN
Lens
3 - 0
Monaco
MON
32%
25%
43%
86 89 3 0

Matches

Ajaccio
Ajaccio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 May. 2023
AJA
Ajaccio
0 - 5
Stade Rennais
REN
9%
19%
72%
67 87 20 0
13 May. 2023
PSG
PSG
5 - 0
Ajaccio
AJA
87%
10%
3%
68 92 24 -1
07 May. 2023
AJA
Ajaccio
0 - 0
Toulouse
TFC
11%
21%
68%
67 82 15 +1
29 Apr. 2023
LIL
Lille
3 - 0
Ajaccio
AJA
73%
19%
9%
68 88 20 -1
23 Apr. 2023
AJA
Ajaccio
0 - 0
Stade Brestois
BRE
21%
27%
51%
68 78 10 0