Lens Sub 19 vs Valenciennes Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
30.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
5º
1º
33
4º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CAE
1 - 4
LEN
50%
22%
29%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
LEN
2 - 0
GON
66%
17%
17%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
LEN
2 - 1
DRA
52%
22%
26%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
LIL
2 - 2
LEN
51%
22%
27%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
LEN
1 - 2
AMI
41%
23%
36%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Valenciennes Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
VAL
0 - 0
LIL
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
AMI
1 - 1
VAL
58%
21%
21%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
VAL
3 - 0
REI
66%
18%
15%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
HAV
0 - 0
VAL
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
VAL
3 - 1
ORL
50%
23%
27%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +2 |