Lens II vs Noisy-le-Sec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
14.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
LEN
0 - 2
MET
44%
28%
29%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
AUB
0 - 3
LEN
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
LEN
0 - 2
POI
60%
23%
17%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
AVI
0 - 2
LEN
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
LEH
3 - 1
LEN
44%
24%
31%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Noisy-le-Sec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
NOI
2 - 4
QUE
24%
25%
51%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
MAN
4 - 0
NOI
34%
29%
37%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -2 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
NOI
0 - 2
MET
37%
28%
36%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
NOI
3 - 0
CAB
29%
26%
45%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 2
NOI
51%
28%
21%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |