Lens II vs Longueau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.6%
Win probability
3.39
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
7%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.6%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.1%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.9%
3.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
5º
2º
12
12º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
73.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
39% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 19 |
13º
|
39% | |
|
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
FEI
1 - 3
LEN
31%
26%
44%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
LEN
4 - 1
ESL
80%
12%
8%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
AMI
2 - 4
LEN
27%
22%
51%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
LEN
1 - 2
CHA
77%
14%
9%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
LEN
0 - 1
MAR
73%
18%
10%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Longueau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
LON
1 - 2
VAL
17%
19%
64%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ESL
1 - 1
LON
73%
15%
12%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
LON
2 - 0
AAC
32%
24%
44%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
AMI
2 - 0
LON
83%
11%
6%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
MAR
4 - 1
LON
80%
13%
7%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |