Lens II vs Compiègne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
32%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
QUE
2 - 0
LEN
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
LEN
2 - 3
LEH
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
CAE
2 - 1
LEN
27%
25%
48%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -2 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
NAN
1 - 1
LEN
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
LEN
1 - 4
CAL
34%
29%
37%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Compiègne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
COM
2 - 1
DUN
32%
27%
42%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
FCR
0 - 0
COM
60%
23%
17%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
QUE
0 - 0
COM
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
COM
0 - 2
FCM
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
SOC
2 - 1
COM
51%
25%
25%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |