Lemona vs Aretxabaleta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lemona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
BAS
2 - 2
LEM
87%
10%
3%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
LEM
1 - 2
CDU
39%
27%
34%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
GER
3 - 3
LEM
74%
18%
9%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1985 |
LEM
1 - 1
SDA
37%
29%
34%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1985 |
BAR
4 - 0
LEM
84%
12%
4%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Aretxabaleta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
ATX
3 - 2
ZAL
40%
28%
32%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
AFT
1 - 0
ATX
51%
26%
24%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
ATX
0 - 0
MUT
46%
26%
28%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1984 |
AFT
1 - 1
ATX
42%
27%
31%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1984 |
ATX
2 - 0
SFC
45%
27%
28%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +2 |