Leiston vs Worthing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.1%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
69.1%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leiston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
STI
1 - 0
LEI
35%
23%
42%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
LEI
2 - 3
BAR
14%
20%
66%
|
25 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
LEI
1 - 4
PET
15%
19%
67%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
LEI
0 - 0
AFC
21%
21%
58%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
HIT
2 - 2
LEI
61%
20%
19%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
EAS
1 - 3
WOR
18%
21%
62%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 3
WOR
17%
21%
62%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
WOR
2 - 1
BOW
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
LEA
4 - 3
WOR
20%
23%
57%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
LEW
1 - 3
WOR
10%
16%
74%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |