Leiston vs Harrow Borough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
15.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leiston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
GRA
1 - 1
LEI
35%
25%
40%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
ENF
0 - 2
LEI
44%
23%
33%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
LEI
2 - 2
MAI
23%
24%
53%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2015 |
LEI
0 - 1
MAR
39%
25%
37%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
VCD
2 - 2
LEI
18%
21%
61%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Harrow Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
HAR
1 - 1
MAI
17%
22%
61%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
HAR
5 - 1
WIN
24%
22%
54%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +4 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
TON
1 - 1
HAR
65%
20%
16%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2015 |
WHI
3 - 1
HAR
55%
22%
23%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
BOG
2 - 0
HAR
74%
16%
11%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |