Conference Premier Isthmian Round 16

Leiston vs Dulwich Hamlet FC analysis

Leiston Dulwich Hamlet FC
40 ELO 46
-1.8% Tilt 3.6%
6913º General ELO ranking 8362º
250º Country ELO ranking 343º
ELO win probability
26.3%
Leiston
23.9%
Draw
49.8%
Dulwich Hamlet FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.3%
Win probability
Leiston
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
49.8%
Win probability
Dulwich Hamlet FC
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Leiston
-29%
+51%
Dulwich Hamlet FC

ELO progression

Leiston
Dulwich Hamlet FC
Canvey Island
East Thurrock United FC
Thamesmead Town FC
AFC Hornchurch
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Leiston
Leiston
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Dec. 2013
HEN
Hendon
3 - 1
Leiston
LEI
51%
24%
25%
39 42 3 0
26 Dec. 2013
LEI
Leiston
0 - 1
Lowestoft Town
LOW
30%
25%
44%
40 49 9 -1
14 Dec. 2013
LEI
Leiston
4 - 1
Grays Athletic
GRA
37%
25%
37%
38 43 5 +2
10 Dec. 2013
LEI
Leiston
5 - 2
Bognor Regis Town
BOG
29%
25%
46%
36 44 8 +2
07 Dec. 2013
THA
Thamesmead Town FC
2 - 4
Leiston
LEI
41%
25%
35%
35 32 3 +1

Matches

Dulwich Hamlet FC
Dulwich Hamlet FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Dec. 2013
CRA
Cray Wanderers
0 - 6
Dulwich Hamlet FC
DUL
11%
18%
72%
47 22 25 0
26 Dec. 2013
DUL
Dulwich Hamlet FC
3 - 2
Grays Athletic
GRA
58%
22%
20%
47 41 6 0
21 Dec. 2013
LOW
Lowestoft Town
2 - 0
Dulwich Hamlet FC
DUL
43%
25%
33%
48 48 0 -1
17 Dec. 2013
DUL
Dulwich Hamlet FC
2 - 0
Maidstone United
MAI
34%
24%
42%
46 51 5 +2
14 Dec. 2013
DUL
Dulwich Hamlet FC
2 - 0
Hendon
HEN
47%
24%
29%
45 44 1 +1